Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.048926 14.597340 16.272829 18.223228 20.434633 22.867968 25.753594
2025-06-01 10.737945 12.800916 15.194182 18.186245 21.841359 26.179512 31.745551
2025-06-08 9.055253 11.415123 14.326605 18.206825 23.278601 29.731698 38.642369
2025-06-15 7.984419 10.594717 14.003417 18.825903 25.545461 34.683419 48.233679
2025-06-22 6.874027 9.548022 13.222373 18.709936 26.817584 38.544728 57.138685
2025-06-29 5.894147 8.530293 12.323129 18.274431 27.554835 41.771660 65.781884
2025-07-06 5.157601 7.751931 11.646752 18.046322 28.546103 45.533855 76.020949
2025-07-13 4.734829 7.381360 11.522013 18.639649 30.919080 51.898776 91.931431
2025-07-20 4.373542 7.054203 11.413407 19.232732 33.383115 58.858503 110.454647
2025-07-27 4.004764 6.663279 11.142275 19.498900 35.310037 65.210508 129.297082
2025-08-03 3.607778 6.172276 10.632687 19.256644 36.250219 69.875032 145.840786
2025-08-10 3.254371 5.712929 10.117356 18.921443 36.945883 74.174272 162.629585
2025-08-17 2.946404 5.306192 9.659916 18.657927 37.803411 79.110014 182.465349
2025-08-24 2.692280 4.969265 9.291293 18.518130 38.904922 84.821461 205.780493
2025-08-31 2.478538 4.684121 8.986831 18.465754 40.194592 91.246271 232.783987
2025-09-07 2.352179 4.555038 8.976020 19.039708 43.016622 101.922542 274.388775
2025-09-14 2.169925 4.291967 8.657181 18.882987 44.088860 108.517995 306.605100
2025-09-21 1.981291 3.994670 8.230224 18.415401 44.317111 112.994843 333.988517
2025-09-28 1.831323 3.762499 7.915857 18.165661 45.054651 119.015859 368.229626
2025-10-05 1.758442 3.688676 7.942795 18.748579 48.099842 132.244069 431.020759
2025-10-12 1.690685 3.618464 7.968994 19.334460 51.276103 146.660674 503.493345
2025-10-19 1.606685 3.502308 7.874062 19.594086 53.587773 159.035777 573.368264
2025-10-26 1.499257 3.320873 7.602470 19.344752 54.366076 166.740336 628.175267